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There are literally thousands of investment vehicles available today.
To help you approach investment planning in a systematic fashion, we've
included several articles on the topic:
If
you have any questions or would like help designing your investment strategy,
please contact us at (281) 277-6400 or service@DearbornCreggs.com.
Developing an Investment Strategy
Many people approach
investing in a haphazard manner, purchasing individual stocks and bonds,
but never really deciding how to structure their overall investment
portfolio. With no strategy to guide purchases, these portfolios can
contain investments that are inappropriate for the individuals' circumstances.
Thus, to help guide your investment decisions, take time to develop
an investment strategy by following these steps:
1.
Identify your financial goals.
This will help
you determine how much money you need to accumulate and how long you
have to do so. Your need for liquidity, desired return, current income
needs, portfolio size, tax situation, age, and investment period can
all have a significant impact on which investments are appropriate.
For instance, funds that will be needed in a couple of years should
be invested differently than funds that won't be needed for 20 or 30
years.
2.
Review investment alternatives.
Don't confine yourself
to currently owned investments. Investigate all options, including cash
equivalents, bonds, stocks, real estate, and other choices. Make sure
you understand the basic aspects of each, examining the types of risk
they are subject to as well as their historical rates of return.
3.
Assess your tolerance for risk.
Everyone has a
different risk tolerance - some people can't stand the thought of losing
any of their principal while others are comfortable with this concept
if it means they can possibly increase their rate of return. Make sure
you understand the potential downside as well as the upside to any investment.
See the article "Understanding Your Risk Tolerance"
for more details.
4.
Decide on an appropriate asset allocation mix.
Decide what percentage
of your portfolio should be allocated to stocks, bonds, cash equivalents,
and other alternatives. Within these broad categories, make allocation
decisions for each category. For instance, within the stock category,
you can select large capitalization stocks, small capitalization stocks,
and/or international stocks. (International investing has additional
risks associated with it and may not be for everyone.) Each individual's
asset allocation strategy will vary based on individual circumstances.
In addition, your strategy is likely to change over time as your personal
situation changes.
5.
Compare your current investment portfolio to your desired asset allocation.
Calculate how much
of your current investment portfolio is invested in each category. Take
a fresh look at each investment you own, making sure the reasons you
initially chose to invest still remain valid. At this point, determine
what changes need to be made to your portfolio to bring it in line with
your desired asset allocation. If major changes are required, you may
want to make them over a period of time.
6.
Monitor your portfolio periodically.
To ensure that
your investment strategy stays on track, review your portfolio at least
annually, making adjustments as needed. See the article "Monitoring Your Portfolio's
Performance" for more information.
Developing an investment
strategy requires evaluating many factors, but can give you a well-thought-out
strategy to help achieve your long-term goals. Hopefully, it will also
allow you to maintain your commitment to your strategy during periods
of market volatility. If market volatility starts to make you nervous,
review your written reasons for investing as you did. That reminder
should help keep you focused on the long term.
Back
to topics.
Monitoring
Your Portfolio's Performance
At least annually,
you should review your portfolio's performance to determine whether
you're on track to accomplishing your goals. Consider following these
steps during that review:
1.
Measure the performance of each investment in your portfolio.
Although this may
seem like a simple task, accumulating or calculating this information
can be difficult. If you invest in individual stocks or bonds, you will
often have to calculate performance figures yourself. Conceptually,
total return is not a difficult calculation - it equals the change in
market value plus any dividends, interest, or capital gains received,
divided by the beginning market value. However, it can be difficult
to calculate if you made withdrawals or additional purchases during
the year. If that is the case, you may need the help of a computer to
precisely make the calculations.
Other types of
investments will typically provide you with periodic information about
the investment's performance. You should understand, however, that there
are different ways to report this information, which may be useful for
different purposes. Keep the following points in mind:
- A specific investment's
return is typically reported on a time-weighted basis, which shows
the investment's return for a certain period without regard to when
you invested. Time-weighted returns are useful for comparing the performance
of several different investments. Information about your portfolio's
return is generally expressed on a dollar-weighted basis, meaning
the return is calculated based on when you bought and sold shares.
Dollar-weighted returns are useful for evaluating the performance
of your portfolio.
- Realizing that
returns can fluctuate significantly on a year-to-year basis, investments
often report cumulative annualized returns over a period of time.
These returns show the average annual returns over that time period.
For instance, an investment with a 60% cumulative return over five
years would have an annualized five-year return of 9.9%. Annualized
returns help you assess an investment's long-term performance.
2.
Compare each component of your portfolio to a relevant benchmark.
A wide variety
of market indices now exist to cover different segments of the market.
You should be able to find indices that track investments similar to
your portfolio's components. Making comparisons to these benchmarks
will help you identify portions of your portfolio that may need to be
changed or that you want to start monitoring more closely.
3.
Calculate your portfolio's overall rate of return and compare it to
your targeted return.
When designing
your investment program, you assumed that your portfolio would probably
earn a certain return so you could calculate how much you needed to
invest to achieve your financial goals. Calculating your actual return
will help you determine if you are on track. If your actual return is
less than your targeted return, you may need to increase the amount
you are investing, invest in more aggressive alternatives, or settle
for less money in the future. Make sure to perform this analysis annually
so you can make any needed changes gradually.
4.
Review your overall investment allocation to see if changes are needed.
Changes may be
required for a variety of reasons. For instance, if certain investments
in your portfolio have performed well, you may find that they make up
a larger percentage of your portfolio than you originally planned. Or
you may want to change certain investments that are not performing well.
You may also need to refine your asset allocation percentages, since
your strategy may change over time.
Back
to topics.
Understanding
Your Risk Tolerance
Your tolerance
for risk is an important factor in how you allocate your investment
portfolio among different types of investments. While investments are
subject to many different types of risk, risk tolerance typically refers
to your ability to stay with an investment when the return is either
less than you expect or the investment declines in value. You should
only assume a level of risk that you are comfortable with, so that you
aren't tempted to sell an investment when it is at a low point. Unfortunately,
it is difficult to quantify your tolerance for risk. And even if you
think you understand your tolerance for risk, you generally won't know
for sure until you are actually faced with a significant downturn in
an investment.
There are at least
two factors that impact your risk tolerance. One is the level of investment
risk that is appropriate for you based on your personal situation. Key
factors to consider include your time horizon for investment, income
level, asset levels, amount of debt, liquidity, and family responsibilities.
The other element
is your emotional tolerance for risk. Even though your personal situation
may indicate that you could assume a high level of risk, that may not
be prudent if you are uncomfortable with that risk. To get a feel for
your emotional tolerance for risk, it is important to ask yourself questions
such as: How much would I be willing to lose in a one-year period without
being tempted to sell the asset? For what length of time would I be
willing to sustain a loss before selling the investment? What types
of investments am I comfortable with and which make me uncomfortable?
Keep in mind that
there are strategies to reduce the total risk in your investment portfolio.
One of the most important is diversification, which means investing
in more than one investment category, such as cash, bonds, and stocks,
as well as within investment categories, such as owning several stocks
rather than just one. A properly diversified portfolio should contain
a mix of asset types whose values have historically moved in different
directions or in the same direction with a different magnitude. The
theory is that when one asset class is declining, other asset classes
may be increasing in value.
Another form of
diversification is time diversification - staying in the market through
different market cycles. Remaining in the market over the long term
helps to reduce the risk of receiving a lower return than you expected.
This is important for investments that are more volatile, such as stocks,
where prices can fluctuate significantly over the short term.
Other strategies
that can help you become more comfortable with risk include:
- Become familiar
with different investments and the types of risk they are subject
to. Over time, your comfort level with risk will increase as your
understanding increases.
- Maintain reasonable
return expectations. If your return expectations are too high, you
will become disappointed if the asset does not perform as you expected,
another name for risk.
- Don't stockpile
your cash and then invest a large sum. Many investors find that it
feels less risky to invest smaller amounts of money rather than one
large sum.
- If you want
to invest in more aggressive vehicles but aren't sure you can handle
the risk, start out by investing a small amount. You can increase
your exposure as you become more comfortable.
Back
to topics.
The
Benefits of Asset Allocation
Asset allocation
is an investment strategy that can provide several benefits to your
investment portfolio:
- It
provides a disciplined approach to diversification. An
asset allocation strategy reflects your personal decisions about how
much to invest in different investment categories, another name for
diversification. By owning different types of assets, when one asset
suffers a major decline, hopefully other assets in your portfolio
will be increasing in value, helping to counter the impact of the
asset that has declined.
- It
encourages long-term investing. While you will need to
make changes to your portfolio from time to time, an asset allocation
strategy is designed to help control the long-term makeup of your
portfolio. It should not change based on economic conditions or fluctuations
in the markets.
- It
eliminates the need to time investment decisions. Market
timing is a difficult concept to implement. Not only do experts have
a difficult time accurately predicting the market, but waiting for
the perfect time to invest often keeps many investors on the sidelines.
With an asset allocation policy, you don't have to worry about timing
the market, you just have to ensure that your investments stay within
the proper percentages.
- It
helps reduce risk in your portfolio. The investments with
the highest returns generally have the highest risk and the most volatility
in year-to-year returns. Asset allocation allows you to combine risky
investments with those that are less risky. This combination can help
reduce your portfolio's overall risk.
- It
provides a means to adjust the risk in your portfolio over time. You
can adjust the risk in your portfolio by changing the allocations
for the different categories of assets you hold. By anticipating your
changing needs, you can make gradual changes.
- It
keeps you focused on the big picture. Staying focused on
the proper allocation for your assets will help prevent you from investing
in assets that won't help accomplish your goals. Rather than investing
in a haphazard manner, it gives you a framework for making investment
decisions.
Back
to topics.
To
Sell or Not to Sell?
For many investors,
the only decision more difficult than which investment to purchase is
when to sell that investment. Although there are no hard and fast rules,
consider these general guidelines:
- Compare your
investments' performance to that of similar investments or to the
overall market. Recognize that a specific investment's performance
will vary over time depending on the market cycle. Consider selling
an investment that has lagged in performance for an extended time.
- Don't sell at
the first sign of trouble, since it is not unusual for an investment
to go through a difficult period. Review the fundamentals again to
determine if there is a permanent change.
- Psychologically
it is difficult to sell an investment at a loss. Many investors prefer
to wait until the investment rebounds to at least a breakeven point.
Yet the investment may never rebound or may take a long time to do
so. Continue to hold an investment only if its future prospects are
good.
- When you purchase
an investment, set target prices, both high and low, to reevaluate
it. You don't have to sell at that point, but you should review the
investment when it reaches the preselected price levels.
- It may be appropriate
to sell an investment with mediocre prospects if you find another
investment that appears more attractive.
- An investment
may become so popular that its price climbs significantly. At that
point, review its fundamentals again to decide whether it has the
potential to increase even more or if the price is just too high.
- Resist the temptation
to sell immediately following a market correction. Remind yourself
that the market fluctuates and corrections are a normal part of that
process.
- Carefully review
all your investments at least annually. Read all information acquired
during the year to assess future prospects. Look for major changes
that may indicate problems or signal a change in focus. Make sure
your investments still meet your financial goals.
Back
to topics.
Investing
Guidelines
- Adopt
an automatic investment strategy. With a systematic means
to invest on a periodic basis, you won't be tempted to sit on the sidelines
waiting for the perfect time to invest. Dollar cost averaging is one
form of automatic investing. Basically, you invest a set amount of money
in the same investment on a periodic basis. Since you are investing
a fixed amount, you will purchase more shares when prices are lower
and fewer shares when prices are higher. Dollar cost averaging requires
the discipline to invest consistently, regardless of market fluctuations.
It does not ensure a profit or protect against losses in declining markets.
Before starting a dollar cost averaging program, you should consider
your financial ability to continue purchases through periods of low
price levels.
- Invest
only in investments you understand. Many complex investments
are available, but you probably won't be able to monitor them successfully
if you don't understand them. Stick with investments that you thoroughly
understand.
- Look
for investments with consistent returns over the long term.
It can be tempting to change investments often, chasing the highest
returns. Instead, concentrate on finding investments that will produce
reasonable returns over the long term.
- Don't
try to time the market. Market timing is a very difficult
strategy to implement. The complexity of the financial market makes
it very difficult to predict how the market will react to the vast number
of variables that affect it. And in order to be successful, the market
timer has to be right about two decisions - when to get out of the market
and when to get back in. Instead, develop an investment strategy that
you are comfortable with and stick with it - even during periods of
volatility.
- Monitor
your investments' performance. Calculate the return for each
of your portfolio's components as well as your overall rate of return.
This review should help you identify portfolio components that may need
changing or that you may want to monitor more closely. Your portfolio's
actual return should be compared with the targeted return used to design
your investment program. If your actual return is significantly less
than your targeted return, you may need to make changes to your investment
strategy. See the article "Monitoring Your Portfolio's
Performance" for more information.
- Rebalance
your portfolio annually. Compare your current allocation
to your desired allocation to see if changes are needed. Since different
investments have varying rates of return, your allocation can stray
from your desired allocation. You may also find that your allocation
percentages should change as your personal situation changes.
Back
to topics.
Copyright © 2006.
These articles intend to offer factual and up-to-date information
on the
subjects discussed, but should not be regarded as a complete analysis
of these subjects. The appropriate professional advisers should be
consulted
before implementing any options presented. No party assumes liability
for any loss or damage resulting from errors or omissions or reliance
on or use of this material.
FR2000-0105-0041
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